Is all human intelligence just pattern recognition and should it
be telling us that we are doomed to mass extinction?
As part of my job, I study trends in the artificial intelligence
industry. I have done briefings discussing AI and how it works. From what I can
I tell, it is based primarily on nothing more than advanced pattern
recognition. If given enough examples and truth sets, AI-driven computers ( the
machines in machine learning) are able to determine patterns, and then when
they are given new stuff, they are able to match it with these patterns, and we are calling that
learning.
So, is that all that people do to? Do we make judgments based on
patterns that we think we recognize? Isn’t that how one predicts the outcome of
a future event?
I have also read a few writings on the idea of mass extinctions.
Related to pattern recognition, one of the points of studying history seems to
be to try and prevent the mistakes of/learn from the past.
There was an article in The Atlantic
recently that discussed different theories for the extinction of the
dinosaurs. The specifics are not really important, aside from that the
bottom line is climate change - and climate change is also possibly responsible
for all the other mass extinctions the earth has gone through, and we are
possibly going through another climate change that could lead to the next mass
extinction which would take out humans.
The ironic part to me is that we think we have the power to stop
this climate change. But, shouldn't our intelligence tell us that this is not
the case?
Let’s go back and say there have been like five mass extinctions
so far. And each one was caused by a change in climate/atmospheric
conditions. What makes us think we can halt the sixth one? The popular
reasoning is that we are to blame for the changing climate this time around, so
we should be able to make a decision and act to stop it. That’s nice, but who
or what is to blame for the five previous mass extinctions? In the case of the
dinosaurs, we like to blame an asteroid (The Atlantic piece puts forward
a volcano theory, but either way). Could that have been stopped? Probably not
by the dinosaurs.
From my view, it seems that these mass extinctions are merely a
result of evolution, and we (humans) are just part of all that takes place in
these giant patterns that include mass extinctions. Can we help ourselves from
ruining the environment? The answer would seem to be “no,” that we are just a
vehicle, like an asteroid (or volcanic) eruption that is the agent for this
change.
That said, if you believe in the "divine spark" and that
some divine power indeed makes humans different than all else in creation, it's
possibly to argue that things could turn out differently. I am not saying that
this type of belief is wrong, it just doesn't seem to fit in with logic-based
scientific models.
So, where does that leave us? There is always hope that the
God-based, divine spark model is true, so we should continue to work to
reverse/slow the pace of climate change. But, based on our intellect, we also
shouldn't be surprised if we fail. On a positive note, if you apply technology
adoption curves I typically see in the market to climate change, it will take a
lot longer for it to really gain steam that we are initially anticipating. Of
course, once it does...is it possible to prepare for a mass extinction?
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